Showing posts with label Startups. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Startups. Show all posts

4.1.11

5 Predictions for Startups in 2011

How we engage with the people, places and things around us is ever-changing thanks to rapid improvements in mobile and web technologies. The speed at which this evolution takes place will only continue to accelerate in 2011 with the help of fledgling startups who will push the boundaries around geolocation, mobile photos, entertainment services, community and physical-to-digital connections.

What follows is an exploration of five significant startup markets that will grow in significance in 2011. Some of these specialized categories are ripe for disruption and innovation, while others have already produced early leaders that will be difficult to best.

Regardless, the startups iterating in these newly invented product categories will capture our imagination in the year ahead and transform the way we use technology in our daily lives.

Read on for five major trends that will hit startups in 2011, and let us know your own predictions in the comments below.

As constant web and mobile users, we’ve all grown accustomed to tagging people and places in photos and status updates. In the year ahead, new services will help us tag real world objects in much the same fashion.

QR code and barcode scanning mobile applications are growing in popularity and purpose, and we’re quickly moving towards a scanning and tagging world where we use apps like Barcode Hero or Stickybits to add our own content to the physical objects we encounter in the real world.

The physical-to-digital connection is what will drive this trend in the new year. Startups such as thingd and Moodstocks have a more grandiose vision around creating digital databases of things, but they’re also creating products that are people-friendly and practical.

We’ve yet to see any one object tagging application or service become a breakout hit, but this will change in 2011 as more consumers warm up to the mobile and social discovery of “things.”

2010 was the year of the checkin. What started as a simple, albeit explicit, way to publicly say “I’m here” mutated into a way for startups to create entertainment checkin services and for companies to build tools to help publishers keep visitors on site.

The entertainment-oriented services are an especially interesting group of services. GetGlue, Miso, Philo, Tunerfish, TV.com Relay and a handful of others have all cropped up with their own variations of the “check in to content, get rewards” concept. Most are successfully inking deals with studios and networks around their entertainment properties, and just recently, GetGlue grabbed $6 million in a Series C round led by Time Warner Investments.

Within this fast-maturing niche is still room for innovation. The opportunities are in motivating user behavior around entertainment content and surfacing fail-proof recommendations.

Somewhere sandwiched amongst ClickerClickerClicker, Rotten TomatoesRotten TomatoesRotten Tomatoes, GetGlue, BoxeeBoxeeBoxee and Netflix is something that can actually figure out what we really want to watch right now and help us watch it in a fashion that supports the interests of studios and networks. It might be a combination of semantic intelligence, social media and game mechanics, or it could be something entirely new.

There’s certainly money to be had here. Investors are financing these ideas, networks are looking for strategic partnerships and cable companies have money to spend.

The rise of the social web has led to brands and businesses emphasizing FacebookFacebookFacebook, TwitterTwitterTwitter, Foursquarefoursquarefoursquare, YouTubeYouTubeYouTube and their social presence over their own website. Social will remain a top priority in 2011, but there will be a website renaissance that focuses on bringing the community back to the site.

2010 has laid the foundation for this movement with the emergence of publisher tools that drive website visitor engagement. Badgeville, OneTrueFan, Marginize, Meebo and Envovle, for instance, are all working on their solutions for the website-as-community concept.

Badgeville lets publishers install a plug-and-play product that adds social rewards and gaming elements to their websites — think rewarding user activity with badges and achievements, à la Foursquare. OneTrueFan also applies game mechanics to website content and Meebo will release its own solution for web checkins in 2011.

Marginize’s browser extension pulls social conversations into a site’s margin but its publisher tool eliminates the need for the extension and lets visitors check in, earn badges and rewards, and participate in onsite comment threads that can be pushed out to social networks. Envolve, however, takes a Facebook-chat style approach to website engagement.

There will continue to be rapid innovation around publisher community tools in the new year. I’m not yet convinced that 2011 will be the year web users completely embrace this idea, but this trend will certainly be pushed forward by publishers who use these tools to engineer a more compelling reason for the visitor to stay and engage. Should they do so successfully, the fruits of their labor will be users that remain on site, share their activity with social networks and influence upticks in traffic, and possibly even sales.

In 2011, the location-sharing counter culture will emerge as mobile users demand less social, more practical tools for sharing their whereabouts with smaller circles of friends and family members.

There’s clearly an audience that appreciates the visibility and rewards that come with checkins, and that is not likely to change. But, a growing number of mobile users will want to apply geolocation technology to their personal lives — think keeping track of the kids, knowing that a significant other made it home safely, or sending and receiving timely notifications based on geographic location.

Consumer-friendly Neer is a prime example of how always-on location technology can be highly personalized and yet not overly intrusive. Geoloqi’s geonotes further personalize the experience by allowing you to leave notes for you or your friends at various locations.

In 2011, we’ll see more applications and services emerge with similar purpose due to advancements in geofencing, proximity awareness and mobile device technologies. Perhaps the only barrier to mainstream adoption is the strain that these services place on mobile phone batteries.

We’re in the midst of a mobile photo sharing boom that has yet to reach its climax. Due to rapid improvements in handset technology, it’s now possible to take a stunning photo and upload it to the web in seconds.

Applications that build expressly around this purpose have cropped up in recent months and prove the viability of this emerging market. Instagraminstagraminstagram, for instance, has surpassed 1 million registered users in just 10 weeks’ time. With this type of momentum, the startup looks to be an unstoppable force.

But greatness will not be achieved in replicating the features or filters of Instagram, at least in an iPhone app. AndroidAndroidAndroid may still be up for grabs, though not if Picplz has a say in the matter.

Purpose will matter just as much as a platform. Foodspotting, DailyBoothDailyBoothDailyBooth and PathPathPath all have put their own unique spin on mobile photos. Still, the underlying mobile photo sharing trend can be applied in a number of yet-to-be fully explored fashions.

Because smartphone adoption is nowhere close to capacity, and growth is anticipated in the new year, there’s still time for a few more big ideas around mobile photo sharing to emerge in 2011.

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Image courtesy of iStockphotoiStockphotoiStockphoto, LuisPortugal
Images courtesy of FlickrFlickrFlickr, jcoleman, dan taylor


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Delicious’s Loss Is Startups’ Gain As Users Jump Ship

Startups in the web-based bookmarking space are seeing huge surges in the final days of December following news that Delicious may shut down or be sold in the near future.

While Yahoo insiders say Delicious’sDeliciousDelicious future remains uncertain — and continuing service and new registrations may be unlikely — startups such as YourVersion, Springpad, Histori.us and others have seen spikes in traffic and usage, much of which is due to Delicious users jumping ship and importing their bookmarks onto other sites.

On December 16, a leaked slide from a Yahoo all-hands meeting showed that the semi-popular social bookmarking app Delicious, which the former company acquired back in 2005, was set for a “sunset” phase.

While Yahoo claims it wants to sell the app rather than kill it off entirely, it’s difficult to say who would buy the service, given its financial struggles and deep integration with Yahoo’s technology.

As a result of the leaked slide, Delicious users have rushed to find alternative bookmarking apps and features. Many of the startups in this space have built and publicized importing tools for quickly and easily migrating from Delicious to their apps.

Springpadspringpadspringpad CEO Jeff Janer wrote to us in an e-mail, “We’ve seen more than 2 million bookmarks migrated from Delicious to Springpad in the last 10 days.”

And YourVersion CEO Dan Olsen wrote that while his company has supported Delicious imports for a while, “We did see a traffic surge in December from Delicious users… In fact, the Delicious servers were often timing out when people were trying to do imports via the API, so we quickly added the ability to import your bookmarks from an XML file as well.”

Delicious traffic, according to a couple of metrics tools, has seen wider-than-usual swings in December. A surge around the time of the leaked slide seems in line with the volume of alarming news about the service. However, the subsequent dip in traffic, while it could be due to end-of-week and holiday doldrums, could also signify a coming dive in traffic as the “sunset” approaches.

Several competing startups we looked at, however, have seen marked spikes in traffic for the same time period. According to Alexa.com, Histori.us’s traffic was up 40% for the month, Pinboard.in saw a 720% spike, Zootool was up 21%; Springpad’s site saw a 30% increase in traffic; and YourVersion was up 154%. These are just figures for web traffic, not mobile or tablet apps.

It will be interesting to see how the Delicious drama plays out in 2011, and perhaps more interesting to see how these startups continue to capitalize on the sunset of a rather large web service.

Disclosure: Yahoo! is a sponsor of the Mashable Awards.


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